Monday, November 29, 2004

Florida e-vote count conundrum

Will there be any official investigation of how and why Florida's e-voters skewed so heavily toward Bush? Some researchers at Berkeley have shown, at the very least, that there's a topic here worthy of investigation:
The Quantitative Methods Research Team released a statistical study - the sole method available to monitor the accuracy of e-voting - reporting irregularities associated with electronic voting machines may have awarded 130,000-260,000 or more excess votes to President George W.Bush in Florida in the 2004 presidential election. The study shows an unexplained discrepancy between votes for President Bush in counties where electronic voting machines were used versus counties using traditional voting methods.... Discrepancies this large or larger rarely arise by chance - the probability is less than 0.1 percent.
A less than 0.1 percent probability?

How small a chance is that? Well, according to Vegas, even the 1-10 49ers are more likely than that to win the Superbowl this year.

For all the details on the Florida voting research, click here.

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