Monday, February 28, 2005

10 years of insurgency

The United States' top military commander, Air Force Gen. Richard Myers, said on Friday that the insurgency in Iraq may well last a decade or more.

Doing a little back of the envelope calculation (and leaving aside that the trendline on casualties is actually getting worse, not better), this would mean that unless the U.S. develops an exit strategy, we are headed toward something like 10,000 deaths and 100,000 additional casualties.

And, oh yeah, by the way, Iraqi casualties are averaging about 10x U.S. rates....

No comments: