You're totally going to win that bet. Leaven notes the greater available pool of capable women athletes, but the sheer number of potential players--millions--means that even if men are only a few percent stronger and faster than women on average (and I'm sure it's more than a few percent), then the top few hundred spots will always be filled with men, and you'll need to go a lot farther down to find the best woman (even if that woman is still stronger and faster than 99.9% of the men in the general population).
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You're totally going to win that bet. Leaven notes the greater available pool of capable women athletes, but the sheer number of potential players--millions--means that even if men are only a few percent stronger and faster than women on average (and I'm sure it's more than a few percent), then the top few hundred spots will always be filled with men, and you'll need to go a lot farther down to find the best woman (even if that woman is still stronger and faster than 99.9% of the men in the general population).
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