Friday, January 28, 2005

Odds on the 2008 Presidential race

An Antigua-based oon-line betting company, BetWWTS.com, has released initial odds concerning likely nominations and winners in the the 2008 Presidential Race. They basically expect the Republicans have about a 60% chance of winning the Presidency in 2008, versus the Democrats' 40%. The more detailed breakdown of odds on individual nominees:

Party To Win 2008 U.S. Presidential Election

  • Republicans 10/17
  • Democrats 7/5

2008 Republican Presidential Nominee

  • Rudolph Giuliani 1/5
  • John McCain 7/1
  • George Pataki 15/1
  • Colin Powell 15/1
  • George Allen 20/1
  • Jeb Bush 20/1
  • Rick Santorum 40/1
  • Bill Frist 50/1
  • Mitt Romney 50/1
  • Chuck Hagel 75/1
  • Arnold Schwarzenegger 100/1

2008 Democratic Presidential Nominee

  • John Edwards 3/2
  • Hilary Clinton 5/2
  • John Kerry 6/1
  • Howard Dean 8/1
  • Evan Bayh 10/1
  • Richard Gephardt 15/1
  • Tom Vilsack 15/1
  • Rod Blagojvich 15/1
  • Al Gore 20/1
  • Barack Obama 24/1
  • Tom Daschle 50/1
Seems likely enough. I wonder, though, if the odds for Giuliani haven't fallen precipitously after the Bernard Kerik affair. (I don't think the odds have been updated since mid-November.) In fact, one can't help wondering if the Kerik affair wasn't intentionally staged by some supporter of one of the other Republicans on this list, in order to knock Rudy off his blocks.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

My. Blogger, check your facts. Dr. Ron Paul is not listed on the Republican side and he is running. Arnie is not ELIGIBLE to run for President. He is foreign-born and should not even be on this list. Read the constitution!!